No executive has ever batted 1.000 at the NFL Draft. Not even St. Jimmy.
And yes, hindsight is 20/20.
Give Dallas Cowboys owner/GM Jerry Jones some credit. The
Generalissimo has fared rather well in early rounds recently, scooping up blue
chippers Dez Bryant, Sean Lee and Tyron Smith. Last season’s daily double of
Travis Frederick and Terrance Williams also looks promising.
But…
Those are the picks you’re supposed to hit on. They’re
batting practice fastballs. Whiff on them and you’re the Raiders.
A Super Bowl contender hits on picks early in the draft consistently
and gets “lucky” with some late rounders.
The Super Bowl may be won in February but it is most often
lost in May, at the NFL Draft. Teams that draft the best are the ones jumping
on the podium with confetti raining on their heads.
In 2010, one team drafts safety Akwasi Owusu-Ansah in the
fourth round. The next defensive back off the board is Kam Chancellor.
A year later, one team drafts DB Josh Thomas in the fifth
round. Eleven picks later, that same other team takes Richard Sherman.
The Seahawks net two Pro Bowlers, including the
self-proclaimed best cornerback in the game, while the Cowboys get 10 games out
of Owusu-Ansah.
What are the chances the Seahawks hit the jackpot on both picks
and the Cowboys crap out?
Drafting is not an exact science but it’s not a game of
chance either.
The Cowboys’ draft history under Jones, without the
assistance of Jimmy Johnson and Bill Parcells, is underwhelming, and
astonishingly poor in the later rounds.
In the past five years, Dallas has chosen 27 players in rounds 4
through 7. There’s not a pick that comes within sniffing distance of what the
Seahawks unearthed in 2010 alone.
The best of the lot may be linebacker Victor Butler or on
special teams, kicker David Buehler.
In 2010, Seattle
came away with K.J. Wright (4th), Sherman, Byron Maxwell (6th)
and Malcolm Smith (7th). Four Super Bowl starters, including the
MVP. Seattle’s
other recent drafts produced similar quality.
Not only have the Cowboys failed miserably to find diamonds
in the rough, most of their later picks are no longer with the team or the NFL,
leaving the franchise with little or no depth. It’s why an unsigned free agent
like George Selvie can come in off the street during training camp and start 16
games at defensive end.
The Seattle
comparison is one-sided but useful because that’s your competition in the NFC.
That’s the top dog you have to punch in the mouth. Do the Cowboys have the guns
to do it?
The answer is no.
Given the team’s draft record, there’s not much hope that
franchise players are suddenly going to start popping out like popcorn. And there
are no extra picks to increase those chances.
Moreover, the team’s core of Pro Bowl players is getting
older and the team is in salary purgatory, so not only are free agent fixes unavailable, the Cowboys have to shed a portion of their mediocre amount of
talent to meet the league’s cap.
To be continued.
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