Confession time: I am an NFL draft addict.
I’m not sure how this obsession came to be. It started
slowly, with Paul Zimmerman’s annual draft previews in Sports Illustrated, then
graduating to Mel Kiper’s mail-order draft guides before the World Wide Web
turned this craving into a 24-hour, 365-day free-for-all.
I really can’t get enough. While critics initially panned
the NFL Network for broadcasting the draft combine from Indianapolis, I watched breathlessly as future
stars competed in 40-times, lifts, shuttle runs, vertical jumps. I took notes. PVRd what I missed.
Underwear Olympics? These were final exams for those
graduating to the NFL and for many players, it was their initial national exposure. I
was riveted. I still am.
Add the intrigue of the NFL player selection process –
the clashing of egos between owners, general managers, coaches, prospective
players and their families – the checkered draft history of some franchises or
their GMs, the millions of dollars and jobs at stake, and I can’t get past this
event being the greatest reality show on TV.
It’s no wonder Hollywood
finally found a way to turn it into a movie. Draft Day with Kevin Costner. Getcha popcorn ready indeed.
The draft became a statutory holiday in my household, Mel
Kiper Day. Then the NFL turned into a three-day festival and thus it is now dubbed
(Mike) Mayockpalooza.
The Good Wife knows I am emotionally unstable during this time period,
prone to bursts of incoherent shouting, laughter and … rage. Controlled. Most
of the time.
Better to be left alone. It’s like watching a game on Sunday, only with much, much
more at stake.
Teams that win the draft end up in bed with the Lombardi
trophy. Those precious picks make or break the fortunes of a franchise. Teams
can add complimentary free agent players or even trade for a superstar to get
over the proverbial hump, but title seeds are sowed in spring.
Which is why as a Cowboys fan, the past few years have been
particularly painful.
Without having direct access to the draft room – I object to
it being called a War Room, it’s not even a close metaphor – it’s difficult to
explain why Jerry Jones and company have fared so poorly without the guiding
hands of Bill Parcells and Jimmy Johnson.
There are so many variables involved in any draft choice
that unless you’re there, in the room, and witness to trade offers, rumours
and the team’s reams of evaluations, it’s hard to pinpoint where Dallas consistently
goes wrong.
Is it scouting? Is it assessment? Is it Jones? He is the
easy target and the team’s draft record shows there has to be a communication breakdown
within the franchise but you wonder how much bad luck has played a factor in the
team’s woes.
Thanks to Jones’ marketing wizardry, there have been two “leaks”
of the Cowboys’ draft strategy, in 2010 and 2013. Images of Jones standing in
front of the team’s big board allowed sharp-eyed draftniks to make out the team’s “cheat sheet.”
In 2010, the Cowboys’ first-round grades were as follows:
1. Sam Bradford
2. Gerald McCoy
3. Ndamukong Suh
4. Russell Okung
5. Trent Williams
6. Eric Berry
7. Rolando McClain
8. Joe Haden
9. CJ Spiller
10. Mike Iupati
11. Blocked by Jerry’s arm, but likely Earl Thomas or Dez Bryant
12. Blocked by Jerry’s arm, but likely Earl Thomas or Dez Bryant
13. Bryan Bulaga
14. Sean Lee
15. Jared Odrick
16. Jason Pierre-Paul
17. Derrick Morgan
18. Kyle Wilson
19. Maurkice Pouncey
20. Navarro Bowman
21. Jahvid Best
22. Tyson Alualu
23. Jermaine Gresham
2. Gerald McCoy
3. Ndamukong Suh
4. Russell Okung
5. Trent Williams
6. Eric Berry
7. Rolando McClain
8. Joe Haden
9. CJ Spiller
10. Mike Iupati
11. Blocked by Jerry’s arm, but likely Earl Thomas or Dez Bryant
12. Blocked by Jerry’s arm, but likely Earl Thomas or Dez Bryant
13. Bryan Bulaga
14. Sean Lee
15. Jared Odrick
16. Jason Pierre-Paul
17. Derrick Morgan
18. Kyle Wilson
19. Maurkice Pouncey
20. Navarro Bowman
21. Jahvid Best
22. Tyson Alualu
23. Jermaine Gresham
The list was surprising because it was unsurprising. Most
mocks heading into the draft had similar first-round values save for three
players: Lee, Bowman and Alualu.
Alualu drew gasps when he was taken by the Jaguars with the
10th pick overall and time has shown that the gasps were an appropriate
reaction.
The Cowboys got a falling Dez Bryant with their first pick
and then made a prescient choice by taking Lee with their second rounder, the
55th pick.
If Lee was unavailable, would they have still traded up from the 59th pick? Or do they take
Bowman and still have an extra fourth in their pocket? Given Lee’s injury history and Bowman’s prodigious
production with the 49ers, Cowboys fans would have been even more overjoyed.
This was easily the best draft the Cowboys had since
Parcells left but you wonder what would’ve happened had both Lee and Bowman
been selected before their pick. Would Alualu be our defensive
end?
These variables show some of the factors at play with each
selection. The Cowboys could have hit gold – Bowman, silver – Lee or copper –
Alualu, depending on the other teams’ needs and assessments.
Is it all luck?
The Cowboys traded up to get Lee in what would turn out to
be a very deep draft, with few busts. Their next pick was Akwasi Owusu-Ansah,
in the fourth round.
To draftniks, it was a slight overvaluation, like Lee and
Bowman, and this time, the Cowboys turned out to be dead wrong. They had a fourth-round
grade on Owusu-Ansah, just a few notches above Kam Chancellor, who was the next
defensive back taken.
Owusu-Ansah was waived by the Saints, didn’t play last
season and is now on the Lions’ practice squad. Chancellor is coming off a
Super Bowl win and has a Pro Bowl on his resume.
What if another team had taken Owusu-Ansah? What if a Cowboys
scout had seen more from Chancellor and bumped his grade up a notch?
What ifs play a great factor at the draft so when you see
the myriad of players that the Cowboys could’ve selected with each draft, consider
the hindsight factor.
Where were these lists after the selections were made. Do
they have the stones, like a young Kiper did, to say picking players like Trev
Alberts is why the Colts “draft second every year.”
Or is it really a mug’s game?
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