A blog about America's Team, the Dallas Cowboys, from north of the border, where they are also Canada's team. Follow me on Twitter @TdotBoys or on Facebook: Tee Dot
Some five hours before the start of the NFL draft and the fog of
misdirection is beginning to clear to the extent that clubs picking at the top
of the draft are beginning to show their hands.
Hence my first and only mock draft for 2014.
Houston: Jadeveon
Clowney, DE South
Carolina
The Texans would like to deal down but and get some extra
picks but they don’t want to give the pick away either. Clowney is the draft’s
top talent but it’s doubtful a team will part with extra first rounders.
St. Louis: Greg Robinson, T Auburn
He may not be the most polished tackle in the draft but he
has the most upside. The Rams will hope he turns into another Orlando Pace. He
may never get to that Hall of Fame and still be a pretty good consolation
prize.
Jacksonville: Khalil Mack, LB, Buffalo
The best all-round linebacker in the draft and at this point
in time, its best pass rusher, is a nice cornerstone for the Jaguars to once
again rebuild on.
Cleveland: Sammy
Watkins, WR, Clemson
The Browns won’t be able to pass up on the best playmaker in
the draft, especially with another first-round in their back pocket. Watkins is
the complete package in terms of route-running, hands, explosiveness and the
ability to break tackles after the catch.
Oakland: Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M
Even with Al Davis gone, the Raiders remain the draft's wild card.
They will think long and hard about quarterback Derek Carr here but Evans’
combination of size, speed and jumping ability make it a no brainer.
Atlanta: Jake Matthews, T, Texas A&M
Though the Falcons will take a flyer on moving up for either
Clowney or Mack, they’ll find the price too costly for what they’re potentially
giving up. Matthews, a solid blocker with Hall of Fame bloodlines, will solve a
good part of the Atlanta’s
offensive line woes.
Tampa Bay:
Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas
A&M
Make it three Aggies in a row. Who thought Johnny Football
would last this long? If the Bucs don’t pick him, he could be this year’s Aaron
Rodgers. The Bucs have enjoyed a bountiful offseason and with Evans gone, they
come away with the draft’s biggest name.
Minnesota: Blake Bortles, QB, Central
Florida
The Vikings need a quarterback and Bortles has the body type
new offensive co-ordinator Norv Turner prefers in his passers. The Matt Cassel era
will be short in the Twin Cities, and it all depends on how fast Bortles develops.
He has all the tools.
Buffalo: Odell
Beckham Jr., WR, LSU
The consensus all along has been for the Bills to draft
tight end Eric Ebron but whispers out of Buffalo give the speedy and explosive Beckham
Jr. the inside track. He’s the draft’s late riser.
Detroit: Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State
The Lions need coverage help terribly and Gilbert, of the
top corners in the draft, has the size to match up with the Bears’ big wide
receivers and speed to deal with the Pack’s three-pronged attack as well.
It’s a little more than a week before the NFL draft and who
will be chosen with the top 10 picks remains an unsolved puzzle for the mock
draft community.
There’s uncertainty unlike any in recent years. Twitter
feeds are rife with wild rumours and anonymous reports, talk radio is full of idle chatter, mock draft versions
10.0 and higher have been posted and still, who will be drafted and by whom at
the top of the deck remains very much a mystery.
NFL.com lists five players with a pre-draft grade of 7 or
higher: South Carolina defensive end Jadeveon Clowney, 7.5, Auburn offensive
tackle Greg Robinson, 7.4, Clemson wide receiver Sammy Watkins, 7.3, Texas
A&M offensive tackle Jake Matthews, 7.2, and Buffalo linebacker Khalil
Mack, 7.2.
Expect those five to be among the top eight picks of the draft.
The flies in the ointment this year are the quarterbacks, none of whom have shown the promise of franchise passers but are solid enough to warrant
consideration in the first half of the draft.
Where will A&M's Johnny Manziel land? Will he even be the first
quarterback taken?
Before the season, Louisville’s
Teddy Bridgewater was the presumptive favourite but he started to slide during
the season and was downgraded by a poor Pro Day workout.
Central Florida’s Blake
Bortles then became the talk of the draft. He looks the part – height, arm
strength, accuracy - and may yet be the first passer taken but questionable
decisions during the season show that he may not be ready for prime time right
away.
And on Monday, ESPN’s Adam Caplan tweeted that Cleveland would take Fresno State’s
Derek Carr with its fourth overall pick. No ifs, and or buts.
This following the chatter that the Dallas Cowboys, with the
16th pick, could trade up to catch a falling Manziel, who could be
drafted anywhere from No. 1 to No. 11.
Throw in next-tier talent like receiver Mike Evans, tight
end Eric Ebron, defensive tackle Aaron Donald, offensive tackle Taylor Lewan,
linebacker Anthony Barr, safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and there are a lot of wild
cards at the top of the table, more so than usual.
But the draft machine, like the league, will focus on the
quarterbacks. And there isn’t a bigger name than Johnny Football.
If Manziel slides past quarterback-needy teams like Jacksonville, Cleveland, Oakland, Tampa and Buffalo at No. 9 and
turns out to be the star many predict, those GMs will have a lot of answering
to do, especially if their picks turn out to be less productive.
Adding to the high stakes: Those teams, save for the Bucs,
who made a big splash in free agency, could use the celebrity buzz that Manziel
possesses to refresh excitement levels with their fan bases.
But those teams, read management, also can’t afford another
miss at the position and with the added cushion of up to four other
quarterbacks who could be had in later rounds with similar strengths and
weaknesses, they could wait or gain extra picks by trading down.
And there's also the distractions that come with Manziel. Which brings us to the Cowboys.
They need Mack but should be happy to end up with Barr, the
UCLA linebacker who could develop into a legitimate pass rusher. Donald and
Clinton-Dix would also be great choices at need positions but their recent
market valuations seem to place them above the Cowboys price. Unless they trade
up.
But what if Manziel is available?
The acknowledgement that Manziel would warrant the
investment should be received as great news for Cowboys Nation. Not because
Manziel is destined for greatness, that remains up for debate. But because the
Jones brain trust may be finally, finally realizing that the Romo era is
nearing its conclusion and that hey, big changes are needed.
Manziel’s slide could push the Jones boys into action. At
this point, it’s the only way the Cowboys can shake their salary cap
predicament and even that may be two years down the line but it could represent
a start.
Johnny Manziel is about to strut into the NFL saloon with a reputation for living large, playing fast and loose and seemingly eager to wear the black hat that goes with notoriety.
Where Tebow preached unabashedly about his cleanliness and piety, and may have rubbed some fans the wrong way with his weekday sermons, Manziel makes no apologies for his brashness, his collection of Twitter party photos or his larger-than-life me-me-me profile. He relishes it.
Currently out of football, Tebow, the son of missionaries, is building a hospital to help children in the Philippines. His mark on the NFL remains that one playoff win, Tebowing, the meme where he dropped on a knee and rested his fist on his head in glory to God, and as a draft-day cautionary tale.
In comparison, Manziel, an heir to an oil business fortune, is reportedly trying to trademark the phrase The House That Johnny Built, in reference to the $450-million renovation of Texas A&M’s home field where Johnny Football (another pending trademark) made his name. His draft day tale remains unwritten.
Tebow, who trademarked Tebowing to make sure it’s used in The Right Way, was often photographed shirtless yet claimed to still have his virginity. He is now a roving minister.
Manziel was suspended half a game for an alleged autograph scandal, lit up Twitter with various racy party photos and was allegedly told to leave the Manning Passing Academy as a counselor for reportedly being hung over and/or being late to sessions.
Both quarterbacks enjoyed tremendous success in the college game and have Heisman Trophies on their shelves. They embraced different running styles, Tebow like a bruising fullback, Manziel like a scatback, but both used the same skill to lift their names to the NCAA marquee.
Coming out of college, Tebow was as wholesome as pure milk on campus but had plenty of questions about his accuracy and throwing ability. Questions that should not have been overlooked by the Broncos when they drafted Tebow late in the first round or else Josh McDaniels would still be in Denver. Tebow simply couldn’t complete a mid-level pass consistently.
Manziel, on the other hand, is a double shot of Texas whiskey, no ice. He too comes with questions about arm strength and throwing mechanics. His lack of height (not quite 6 feet) is another issue of concern, as is his penchant for improvisation as a passer.
The biggest link between Tebow and Manziel coming out of college however, is in Q rating. Like the former Gator, Manziel has the PR sizzle to lift a QB-needy franchise out of any malaise. At least in the short term.
Every move photographed. Every nuance interpreted. Every outing papparazzied. If there’s a media superstar waiting to break out of this draft, Manziel is it. He’s a walking one-man version of Hard Knocks.
With some on-field success, Manziel could help build a stadium in Buffalo, put Jacksonville back on the NFL map, end the QB suffering in Cleveland, transform the Twin Cities' offence or restore the roar in Oakland’s Black Hole.
Just the same, he could party his way out of the league or earn enough suspensions to permanently retard his development as a quarterback.
It’s a proposition teams at the top of the draft and teams looking to trade up for a quarterback have to consider. And given the similar quality of passers in the draft class, it’s a risk that not many teams are willing to take, which is why, along with the other concerns, Manziel isn’t the slam dunk No. 1 overall choice.
He’s not a Troy Aikman, a Peyton Manning, or even an Andrew Luck.
The player Manziel resembles most coming out of college is Michael Vick. Manziel is not as quick or as fast as Vick and also doesn’t measure up in terms of arm strength. But he is a bit more accurate with the ball and has a better sense of anticipation in terms of when a receiver is about to come open. Their freakish abilities to avoid defenders is roughly the same.
Will their career arcs mirror each other as well? I don’t know but either way, it will be must-see TV.
The pre-draft silly season is here. How can you tell? Just
read the Jadeveon Clowney headlines.
He's spoiled and lazy, charges one anonymous scout identified only as belonging
to the National Football Conference. At the same time, some mock drafters
compare some of his skills to Lawrence Taylor’s.
As the consensus top talent in the draft, the Southern
Carolina defensive end is undergoing the relentless
scrutiny that comes when the NFL's annual player selection meeting is held in May instead of its previous late April launch.
Clowney has become the main target because no quarterbacks have risen to
challenge his throne. Ask the draft experts who the top pivot in this class is
and you're likely to get two answers: Blake Bortles and Johnny Manziel.
Both of those QBs have enough questions on their resumes that
they're having a tough time knocking off Clowney from the top perch. Further
clouding the quarterback debate is that there are four or five other passers who could be drafted in the first three rounds and could eventually lay claim
to the best quarterback drafted in 2014: Teddy Bridgewater, Zach Mettenberger,
Derek Carr, A.J. McCarron and Jimmy Garoppolo. Even Pittsburgh’s Tom Savage is moving up the
charts.
The gap between Bortles and Mettenberger or between Manziel and Bridgewater, depending on
which type of passer you prefer, may not be worth making the leap to the top of
the draft, if similar options can be had at the middle or bottom of the first
round.
That's not to say some team, say Buffalo
or Cleveland, may be enamoured to trade up and draft Johnny Football, as he
would bring added pizzazz to either franchise, but thus far, Clowney has remained
at the top of the charts.
So, is he lazy or LT? As usual with hyperbole, he’s somewhere in between. His stats from last season are rather pedestrian, 41 tackles, 3
sacks; compared to 40 tackles and 13 sacks in 2012.
There’s no question his productivity was disappointing for
someone with his athletic abilities but take a closer look at South Carolina games. There aren’t a lot of
double teams. But which way are the plays going?
The majority of plays directed the football away from
Clowney. They occasionally went at him to keep the defence honest but mostly
they didn’t need to double team because game plans directed the flow away from
him. It’s hard to rack up defensive stats when most of the game is on the other
side of the field.
There’s no questioning his first step. It is stunningly
quick and allowed him to be a tremendous disruptor in the run game as offensive
tackles often flailed in reaching for him. His speed, 4.53, at 266 lbs. at the
combine, speaks for itself.
But before we crown him as the next LT, realize that his
pass rushing skills need a lot of polishing. Those bullrushes that wreaked
havoc in the SEC are unlikely to make a dent in the NFL. He plays too upright
and seems too stiff in the upper body as a rusher.
What do I mean by that?
The late Derrick Thomas had perhaps the quickest first step next to
LT but he combined that with a rare ability to rush the passer at unbelievable angles,
where his body would be nearly parallel with the ground yet still be able to generate enough
power and speed to allow him to shoulder through linemen. It was freakish, like Taylor.
Clowney plays a more like LaVar Arrington than Taylor or
Thomas. A penetrator who will shoot the gap and who is athletic enough to make
a difference but one who may not be a great factor on the pass rush.
At the top of the board, he remains a safer pick than either
of the quarterbacks but those pivots tend to rise in the weeks leading up to
the draft as teams start to jostle for draft position.
In 2010, Ndamukong Suh graded out as the most talented
player on the board but Sam Bradford rose to the top of the charts after he put
up a Troy Aikman-like
pro-day workout and was selected by the Rams.
With three weeks to go, Clowney remains the top mock pick
but as you can see, the misdirection plays are just beginning.
A nightmarish offseason for free agent running backs
continues with free agent Chris Johnson shopping his wares, hoping to land a
deal that his brethren can be proud of.
So far, demand for the speedy running back seems to be
limited to a few teams, with little of the fervour seen when wide receiverDeSean Jackson suddenly hit the market.
Jackson signed a 3-year,
$24-million deal with the Redskins days after being released by the Eagles and then
continued on his merry way to vacation on a private villa in the Caribbean while his new teammates hit OTAs.
Jackson, at 27, is a year younger than Johnson and coming
off a career-best season while CJ2K is not, but the discrepancy in the demand
for the players shows the new cold, hard reality in the NFL: Momma, don’t let
your sons grow up to be running backs.
That’s because NFL’s transition from a running league to a
passing league is now complete. Not just on the field but in the way players
are paid and drafted.
There are exceptions: Adrian Pederson in Minnesota,
and Seattle and San Francisco employ run-first offences; but
the rest of the league clearly values quarterbacks and receivers far more than backs.
How else can you explain the fact that kickers are now in
the same pay scale as running backs, and, for the most part, received
longer-term contracts.
Don’t believe me? Compare the top deals of 2014:
Kickers
Graham Gano, 4 years, $12.4 million
Nick Folk, 4 years, $12 million
Steven Hauschka, 3 years, $9.15 million
Phil Dawson, 2 years, $6.1 million
Dan Carpenter, 4 years, $10 million
Adam Vinateri, 2 years, $5 million
Running backs
Ben Tate, 2 years, $6.2 million
Toby Gerhart, 3 years, $10.5 million
Donald Brown 3 years, $10.5 million
Rashad Jennings, 4 years, $10 million
Knowshon Moreno 1 year, $3 million
Maurice Jones-Drew 3 years, $7.5 million
Where have you gone, Walter Payton.
The league was built on the legs of runners like Jim Brown,
O.J. Simpson, Payton, Emmitt Smith and LaDainian Tomlinson. Super Bowls and
playoff battles were won with 3 yards and a cloud of dust, the ability to keep
the chains and clock moving with power football.
But today’s game features three- and four-wide receiver
sets, running back by committees, where the passing game sets up the run and
not the other way around, and the difference between a running back getting 3.8
versus 4.5 yards per carry doesn’t mean that much because a swing pass or a
quick hitch is just as effective.
When did it all change?
I blame The Catch. For a lot of things.
Frozen in time, Dwight Clark's arms stretch skywards for a ball that
should've been beyond his reach while Everson Walls trails feverishly behind.
Ed 'Too Tall' Jones and two other Dallas
defenders jump prematurely at a Joe Montana fake and watch as the upstart
quarterback locates the ball exactly where his savvy coach wanted it during the
previous timeout. All under heavy duress and a Super Bowl bid on the line.
What's forgotten is that the Cowboys got the ball back with 51 seconds left
and if not for an Eric Wright game-saving tackle on a streaking Drew Pearson
AND an ensuing Danny White fumble, Rafael Septien would've likely kicked the
game-winning field goal. But I digress.
Over the ensuing decade San Francisco would
establish itself as the team of the '80s while Dallas would slowly descend into the waiting
hands of Jerry Jones.
Bill Walsh would be hailed as an offensive genius and his West Coast offence
would become an integral part of the NFL. Tom Landry, and his 4-3 Flex defence,
a league staple, would be overtaken by the 3-4 alignment and for a time, Buddy
Ryan's 4-6.
Montana
became a first-ballot Hall of Famer. White would give way to Steve Pelluer and
Gary Hogeboom.
But it was the rise of Walsh's offensive system that
forever altered the league. Not just in the way the game was played but also
the way players were drafted and eventually, the way players got paid.
Up until that point, teams needed a superstar running back to win. Period.
Needed a first down, you ran for it.
Now here came the 49ers in the championship game with Lenvil Elliott leading
the charge -- Dallas
was protecting against the pass and Walsh, with time winding down, ran the ball
with Elliott to march down the field to set up The Catch.
Don't remember Elliott? Not many do. Elliott was filling in for the
similarly unremarkable Ricky Patton. But people do remember Tony Dorsett on the
other sideline.
Over time, coaches figured out that three or four Pattons or Elliotts could
do a serviceable job instead of paying big money to the Dorsetts of the world,
especially when you need to fork out $20 million for a franchise quarterback
and $10 million for alpha receivers.
So there’s Chris Johnson, Dorsett-lite, hoping to snag a big paycheque in a
league that just doesn’t hand them out any more, especially to older backs.
Yes, he’s a couple of years away from the age of 30, the so-called end of the running
back’s productive years, but have a look at Dorsett. From the ages of 29 to 31
he ran 896 times for 3,817 yards, which matched the most productive years of
his Hall of Fame career.
Can Johnson help a team? Absolutely. Will he get paid what he deserves? No,
and like me, he can “thank” Walsh for that.
The movie Draft Day, as a concept, is enticing enough. The
plot follows the roller coaster of the day endured by the protagonist, Cleveland
Browns GM Sonny Weaver Jr., played by Kevin Costner.
Not only does Sonny find out he’s about to become a dad, thanks
to his secret romance with the team’s salary capologist, played by Jennifer
Garner; he has to deal with an oblivious owner who threatens his dismissal
unless he makes a big splash at the draft; a recalcitrant head coach who sets a
fire in his office when he discovers he wasn’t included in the discussion of
the team’s massive trade; and a temperamental quarterback who trashes his
office when he suspects the trade will likely bring his replacement. To top it
off, Weaver has barely had time to mourn the recent passing of his father, the Browns’
franchise coach whom he fired, when his overbearing mother demands an impromptu,
immediate memorial on the practice field.
Yes it’s Hollywood
and all these storylines are plausible, if somewhat farfetched to all occur in
a window smaller than 24 hours. It's like 24 (the TV series) meets Any Given Sunday.
For Dallas Cowboys fans, Dennis Leary plays the coach who sounds a
lot like Barry Switzer, only younger and with a desire to create a semblance of an NFL legacy.
The movie loses all credibility with NFL fans when
it goes rogue with the draft day wheeling dealing and preposterous timelines.
For all its foibles, lack of chemistry between any of the actors, clichéd jokes
that centre around a browbeaten intern, the movie really falls apart in its
plot’s inherent improbability.
Here are five samples.
No.1
It begins early in the morning when
Seattle calls and offers to trade the No. 1 overall
pick for Cleveland’s
No. 7 selection. The asking price: Next’s year’s No. 1 and a third rounder. And
there’s a franchise quarterback on the draft table.
No contest. Make the trade. Even
if you don’t want the quarterback, the value makes the trade worthwhile. You
can always trade down again. Plus who makes this offer?
But no. Costner, who’s in the
pantheon of the sports movie greats for Field of Dreams, Bull Durham and Tin
Cup alone, fumbles the offer and most of the movie as well. The shifty-eyed, overwhelmed
executive can’t see the value in the deal and turns it down…
Only to call back a couple of
hours later in the day, and find that the trade demand now includes another Browns No.
1 pick…. Which Costner accepts because…
No 2.
On draft day, team owner and water
park impresario (Frank Langella) threatens his GM to make a big splash or be
fired. The fan base demands it. Needs it.
There’s no doubt this scenario has
played out in the NFL. It just doesn’t happen on the day of the NFL’s player
selection meeting, hours before the team’s top-10 pick is about to come off the
board.
Months ahead, maybe.
No. 3
Having made the ill-conceived
trade, Costner orders his football staff to find faults with the franchise
quarterback, Bo Callahan (Josh Pence).
Again, there’s no doubt this
scenario has played out in the NFL. It just doesn’t happen on the day of the
NFL’s player selection meeting, hours before the pick is about to be made.
Months ahead, yes.
As it turns out, golden boy
Callahan has one rather large wart. He has one personality trait that matches
that of one of the greatest draft busts ever, Ryan Leaf.
No. 4
The draft begins and Costner, having
endured a nuclear day of emotions, goes back to his sticky note ‘big board’ and
goes with his gut pick, linebacker Vontae Mack, who’s exactly the player
Langella, who flies to New York for the draft with a Callahan jersey, did not
want to see selected.
Doesn’t try to trade back down.
Doesn’t field any offers for the No.1, doesn’t reach out for any. At this
point, even Costner quips that he traded three first rounders and a third for a
player he could’ve had at No. 7.
NFL fans have seen ridiculous
trades and draft picks, never would they be combined like this.
No. 5
Then Callahan begins to slide. All
the way to No. 6. The rookie Jacksonville Jaguars GM who has the pick is so
inept, he doesn’t know why Callahan is suddenly available. Good thing Costner,
who suddenly discovers that he can deal his way out his mess, is there with an
offer of three No. 2s. Which is what? Accepted. Really.
Never happens. Ever. Three No. 2s
for the No. 6 pick, with a franchise quarterback, Leaf-like rumours and all, on
the board. And there are no other suitors for the pick either. Right.
No. 6
Langella, who’s irate in New York, leaves the draft, boards his private plane at
an airport, lands in Cleveland
and arrives at the Browns facility before the No. 6 pick is made. Or less than 50
minutes of real time. That’s a real trick.
No. 7
And this one is the biggest one to
gulp down. Armed with the No. 6 pick, Costner manages to get his picks back
from Seattle,
and gets an ace punt returner thrown in the package.
For those trying to keep track,
the pick that was dealt for three No. 2s minutes ago, suddenly lands three No.
1s, a third and a special teams ace.
Only in Hollywood you say? That would seem to be the
case.
There are a number of cameos in
the movie, including NFL commissioner Roger Goodell and the usual cast of NFL
draft day talking heads, all of whom should’ve advised the screenwriters to
rewrite the script, given its lack of reality.
With its seventh pick back, the
Browns end up taking the son of the Browns’ all-time great running back. Not
Jim Brown, who appears in the movie, but by former NFL journeyman Terry Crews.
The running back? Played Arian Foster.
I’m not sure how this obsession came to be. It started
slowly, with Paul Zimmerman’s annual draft previews in Sports Illustrated, then
graduating to Mel Kiper’s mail-order draft guides before the World Wide Web
turned this craving into a 24-hour, 365-day free-for-all.
I really can’t get enough. While critics initially panned
the NFL Network for broadcasting the draft combine from Indianapolis, I watched breathlessly as future
stars competed in 40-times, lifts, shuttle runs, vertical jumps. I took notes. PVRd what I missed.
Underwear Olympics? These were final exams for those
graduating to the NFL and for many players, it was their initial national exposure. I
was riveted. I still am.
Add the intrigue of the NFL player selection process –
the clashing of egos between owners, general managers, coaches, prospective
players and their families – the checkered draft history of some franchises or
their GMs, the millions of dollars and jobs at stake, and I can’t get past this
event being the greatest reality show on TV.
Watching Donovan McNabb getting booed onstage by stunned face-painted Philly
fans wearing Ricky Williams Eagles jerseys, watching the Gallery Gods
mock the Jets annual selections, Jeff Lageman and Kyle Brady come to mind, or
watching prospects in the Green Room waiting and waiting to get drafted, Aaron
Rodgers, Geno Smith.
It’s no wonder Hollywood
finally found a way to turn it into a movie. Draft Day with Kevin Costner. Getcha popcorn ready indeed.
The draft became a statutory holiday in my household, Mel
Kiper Day. Then the NFL turned into a three-day festival and thus it is now dubbed
(Mike) Mayockpalooza.
The Good Wife knows I am emotionally unstable during this time period,
prone to bursts of incoherent shouting, laughter and … rage. Controlled. Most
of the time.
Better to be left alone. It’s like watching a game on Sunday, only with much, much
more at stake.
Teams that win the draft end up in bed with the Lombardi
trophy. Those precious picks make or break the fortunes of a franchise. Teams
can add complimentary free agent players or even trade for a superstar to get
over the proverbial hump, but title seeds are sowed in spring.
Which is why as a Cowboys fan, the past few years have been
particularly painful.
Without having direct access to the draft room – I object to
it being called a War Room, it’s not even a close metaphor – it’s difficult to
explain why Jerry Jones and company have fared so poorly without the guiding
hands of Bill Parcells and Jimmy Johnson.
There are so many variables involved in any draft choice
that unless you’re there, in the room, and witness to trade offers, rumours
and the team’s reams of evaluations, it’s hard to pinpoint where Dallas consistently
goes wrong.
Is it scouting? Is it assessment? Is it Jones? He is the
easy target and the team’s draft record shows there has to be a communication breakdown
within the franchise but you wonder how much bad luck has played a factor in the
team’s woes.
Thanks to Jones’ marketing wizardry, there have been two “leaks”
of the Cowboys’ draft strategy, in 2010 and 2013. Images of Jones standing in
front of the team’s big board allowed sharp-eyed draftniks to make out the team’s “cheat sheet.”
In 2010, the Cowboys’ first-round grades were as follows:
1. Sam Bradford
2. Gerald McCoy
3. Ndamukong Suh
4. Russell Okung
5. Trent Williams
6. Eric Berry
7. Rolando McClain
8. Joe Haden
9. CJ Spiller
10. Mike Iupati
11. Blocked by Jerry’s arm, but likely Earl Thomas or Dez Bryant
12. Blocked by Jerry’s arm, but likely Earl Thomas or Dez Bryant
13. Bryan Bulaga
14. Sean Lee
15. Jared Odrick
16. Jason Pierre-Paul
17. Derrick Morgan
18. Kyle Wilson
19. Maurkice Pouncey
20. Navarro Bowman
21. Jahvid Best
22. Tyson Alualu
23. Jermaine Gresham
The list was surprising because it was unsurprising. Most
mocks heading into the draft had similar first-round values save for three
players: Lee, Bowman and Alualu.
Alualu drew gasps when he was taken by the Jaguars with the
10th pick overall and time has shown that the gasps were an appropriate
reaction.
The Cowboys got a falling Dez Bryant with their first pick
and then made a prescient choice by taking Lee with their second rounder, the
55th pick.
If Lee was unavailable, would they have still traded up from the 59th pick? Or do they take
Bowman and still have an extra fourth in their pocket? Given Lee’s injury history and Bowman’s prodigious
production with the 49ers, Cowboys fans would have been even more overjoyed.
This was easily the best draft the Cowboys had since
Parcells left but you wonder what would’ve happened had both Lee and Bowman
been selected before their pick. Would Alualu be our defensive
end?
These variables show some of the factors at play with each
selection. The Cowboys could have hit gold – Bowman, silver – Lee or copper –
Alualu, depending on the other teams’ needs and assessments.
Is it all luck?
The Cowboys traded up to get Lee in what would turn out to
be a very deep draft, with few busts. Their next pick was Akwasi Owusu-Ansah,
in the fourth round.
To draftniks, it was a slight overvaluation, like Lee and
Bowman, and this time, the Cowboys turned out to be dead wrong. They had a fourth-round
grade on Owusu-Ansah, just a few notches above Kam Chancellor, who was the next
defensive back taken.
Owusu-Ansah was waived by the Saints, didn’t play last
season and is now on the Lions’ practice squad. Chancellor is coming off a
Super Bowl win and has a Pro Bowl on his resume.
What if another team had taken Owusu-Ansah? What if a Cowboys
scout had seen more from Chancellor and bumped his grade up a notch?
What ifs play a great factor at the draft so when you see
the myriad of players that the Cowboys could’ve selected with each draft, consider
the hindsight factor.
Where were these lists after the selections were made. Do
they have the stones, like a young Kiper did, to say picking players like Trev
Alberts is why the Colts “draft second every year.”